Verizon 2017?: 5-10x Faster 5G M-MIMO

Verizon and Nokia refuse to wait for 2020 for 5G. Massive MIMO promises major speed jumps in the same spectrum. Testing in 2016 for Massive MIMO, beamforming and interference cancellation. Hopes for huge speed boost starting in 2017. Think 64 antennas and 5-10x throughput. Good engineers tell me it's possible but didn't expect it so soon. 

Verizon Ready to Try Massive MIMO and Beamforming

Beginning trials soon would suggest deployment in 2017 if they go well. That's not guaranteed. Lowell McAdam plans "Staying ~two years ahead of competitors in network performance." They are getting ambitious, including going to Alcatel's TWDM PON for 40 gig. "VZ will soon begin market trials of 5G capabilities including 'massive MIMO' (which is when a large number of antennas are packed into a single device) and beam forming (which is when a wireless signal is concentrated on a specific location)."(Paul de Sa) Much more http://bit.ly/5G256Ant

Nokia's Moliin: Massive MIMO/Interference Cancellation is Ready

CTO Hossein Moiin intends to test Antonio Forenza's pCell technology early next year. There have been stadium field trials that went well. Very big improvements are close in wireless. Four world-class engineers were comfortable with the forecast wireless capacity would soon increase 50 times or more. 

USC Prof Giuseppe Caire today says "The early trials showed pCell achieving far higher concurrent user capacity than any wireless technology I am aware of." The 2015 demo showed 16 phones receiving 12.5 megabits from a 35 antenna hub. Last year, I wrote extremely skeptically about Artemis/pCell informed by three very respected engineers. That's impressive for 5 MHz. CTO Antonio Forenza's engineering work is in the mainstream of wireless research: MU/Massive MIMO, beamforming and interference cancellation. Much more, including the challenge of practical computation, much more http://bit.ly/pcellnok 

"Go Massive," Says the Texas MIMO Man

Suddenly 2017 is possible, not 2020 & 5G."Go Massive" is the conclusion of Robert Heath.  Delivered wireless performance can increase two to ten times over the next few years using arrays of thirty-five to hundreds of antennas.  Tower, working with UCSD, has a 256 antenna transmitter that looks aimed at expensive military systems. Henry Samueli at Broadcom mentioned last year they were working on a chip for 50 antennas. much more bit.ly/gomassive

dave ask

Newsfeed

CFO John Stephens says AT&T is going to cut capex soon.

Bharti in India has lost 45M customers who did not want to pay the minimum US#2/month. It's shutting down 3G to free some spectrum for 4G. It is cutting capex, dangerous when the 12 gigabytes/month of use continues to rise.

Huawei in 6 days sold 300,000 5G Mate 20s. Delivery begins on 8/16. 

China has over 50,000 upgraded base stations and may have more than 200,000 by yearend 2019. The growth is astonishing and about to accelerate. China will have more 5G than North America and Europe combined for several years.

5G phone prices are down to $580 in China from Oppo. Headed under $300 in 2020 and driving demand.

No one believed me when I wrote in May, 90% of Huawei U.S. purchases can be rapidly replaced and that Huawei would survive and thrive. Financial results are in, with 23% growth and increased phone sales. It is spending $17B on research in 2019, up > 10%. 

5G phones spotted from Sharp and Sony

NTT DOCOMO will begin "pre-commercial service Sept 20 with over 100 live bases. Officially, the commercial start is 2020.

 More newsfeed

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Welcome  1,800,000 Koreans bought 5G in the first four months. The demand is there, and most of the technology works. Meanwhile, the hype is unreal. Time for reporting closer to the truth.

The estimates you hear about 5G costs are wildly exaggerated. Verizon is building the most advanced wireless network while reducing capex. Deutsche Telekom and Orange/France Telecom also confirm they won't raise capex.

Massive MIMO in either 4G or "5G" can increase capacity 3X to 7X, including putting 2.3 GHz to 4.2 GHz to use. Carrier Aggregation, 256 QAM, and other tools double and triple that. Verizon sees cost/bit dropping 40% per year.

Cisco & others see traffic growth slowing to 30%/year or less.  I infer overcapacity almost everywhere.  

Believe it or not, 80+% of 5G (mid-band) for several years will be slower than good 4G, which is more developed.